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Vila Nova FC W vs ESMAC W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasileiro A2 Women 2023
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Match Events

18' Event
Pereira L.
(Penalty)
53'
Jhulian
53'
Jhulian

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC W in this Brasileiro A2 Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vila Nova FC W
20%
Draws
0%
ESMAC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Nova FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Nova FC W lately — more wins on the board than ESMAC W.
  • Model gives Vila Nova FC W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 14%
ESMAC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W ESMAC W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs ESMAC W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

ESMAC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanuza S. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 75 / 100
ESMAC W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W ESMAC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMAC W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

ESMAC W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vila Nova FC W scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC W

(Home)
19 Sept
Alianca GO W
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
12 Sept
Anapolina W
2 : 2
Vila Nova FC W
05 Sept
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 0
Flugoiania W
08 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
Page 1 of 7

ESMAC W

(Away)
28 Apr
ESMAC W
0 : 1
Paysandu PA W
18 Apr
Paysandu PA W
2 : 0
ESMAC W
28 May
ESMAC W
1 : 2
Botafogo PB W
21 May
Sport Recife W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
14 May
Vila Nova FC W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ W 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
2 Bragantino W 7 4 2 1 13:4 14
3 Fluminense W 7 2 5 0 15:6 11
4 America Mineiro W 7 3 1 3 15:7 10
5 Taubate W 7 2 4 1 11:7 10
6 Sao Jose W 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
7 Minas Brasilia W 7 2 1 4 9:6 7
8 Cresspom W 7 0 0 7 2:50 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza W 7 5 2 0 11:6 17
2 Itacoatiara W 7 5 1 1 19:4 16
3 UD Alagoana W 7 4 1 2 14:6 13
4 3B da Amazonia W 7 3 2 2 10:6 11
5 Sport Recife W 7 2 1 4 9:15 7
6 Vila Nova FC W 7 2 1 4 8:14 7
7 Botafogo PB W 7 2 0 5 7:18 6
8 ESMAC W 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2023 (Play Offs)