Sport Picks

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Vila Real U20 vs Ferroviario U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Victor K.
13' Event
Costa J.
36' Event
Araujo A.

AI Match Summary

Vila Real U20 in this Cearense U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Real U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Vila Real U20
15%
Draws
76%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario U20 lately — more wins on the board than Vila Real U20.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vila Real U20 taking it.
  • Regular Cearense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vila Real U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense U20
Vila Real U20 vs Ferroviario U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Real U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real U20 36 / 100
Ferroviario U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vila Real U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

Ferroviario U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Vila Real U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real U20 VS Ferroviario U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real U20

(Home)
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
25 Jul
Vila Real U20
0 : 2
Ceara U20
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2
Vila Real U20
20 Jun
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 2

Ferroviario U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)