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Vila Real vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ytalo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Crateus in this Cearense 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Vila Real
30%
Draws
33%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crateus lately — more wins on the board than Vila Real.
  • Vila Real are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 19%
Crateus Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real Crateus
Matches Played 15 19
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Crateus
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Vila Real
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real 40 / 100
Crateus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Real went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vila Real scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Crateus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real VS Crateus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real

(Home)
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
01 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
25 Jul
Vila Real
0 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 3

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)