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Vilassar de Mar vs CF Vilanova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Moreno J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Vilassar de Mar and CF Vilanova finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vilassar de Mar
30%
Draws
52%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilassar de Mar haven't matched CF Vilanova's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CF Vilanova's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 15%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar CF Vilanova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs CF Vilanova
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CF Vilanova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
CF Vilanova 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar CF Vilanova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Vilanova let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vilassar de Mar scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Vilassar de Mar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS CF Vilanova
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

CF Vilanova

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)