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Vilavelhense vs Forte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Gil Bernardes da Silveira (Sumare), Vila Velha
Vilavelhense Logo

Vilavelhense

1 - 1
FT
Forte Logo

Forte

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Palacios Cantillo J. D.
33'
Kelvin
36' Event
Rael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vilavelhense
35%
Draws
18%
Forte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilavelhense have won more games recently than Forte.
  • Win probability leans Vilavelhense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 68%
Forte Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense Forte
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Forte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilavelhense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Forte Compare

Top Goalscorer Rael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense 77 / 100
Forte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense Forte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilavelhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilavelhense scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vilavelhense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forte let in goals in 52% of their last 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilavelhense VS Forte
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilavelhense

(Home)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

Forte

(Away)
01 Mar
Vitoria ES
4 : 1
Forte
23 Feb
Forte
1 : 1
Vitoria ES
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
07 Feb
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Forte
05 Feb
Forte
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)