Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilavelhense vs Forte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Gil Bernardes da Silveira (Sumare)
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Palacios Cantillo J. D.
33'
Kelvin
36' Event
Rael

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vilavelhense
17%
Draws
13%
Forte
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilavelhense have won more games recently than Forte.
  • Win probability leans Vilavelhense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 68%
Forte Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense Forte
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Forte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilavelhense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Forte Compare

Top Goalscorer Rael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense 77 / 100
Forte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense Forte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilavelhense scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vilavelhense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forte let in goals in 52% of their last 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilavelhense VS Forte
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155