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Vilavelhense vs Sport-ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
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Match Events

2' Event
11' Event
81' Event

AI Match Summary

Vilavelhense in this Copa Espirito Santo matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilavelhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vilavelhense
6%
Draws
4%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilavelhense have won more games recently than Sport-ES.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vilavelhense taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Espirito Santo fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense Sport-ES
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Sport-ES
2:1
May 4, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Sport-ES
0:2
May 11, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Sport-ES
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense 85 / 100
Sport-ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vilavelhense scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Vilavelhense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilavelhense VS Sport-ES
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134