Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilaverdense FC vs Cerveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 game between Vilaverdense FC and Cerveira finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vilaverdense FC
28%
Draws
50%
Cerveira
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cerveira a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vilaverdense FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 24%
Cerveira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Cerveira
Matches Played 34 24
Wins 7 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Vilaverdense FC
0:1
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Cerveira
2:1
May 24, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Cerveira
6:1
Mar 28, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Vilaverdense FC
1:2
Dec 20, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 25 / 100
Cerveira 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Cerveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cerveira conceded in 71% of 24 recent games.

Cerveira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vilaverdense FC scored in 47% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense FC

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
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Cerveira

(Away)
11 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
2 : 2
Cerveira
03 Apr
Cerveira
0 : 1
Vidago
14 Mar
Braga B
0 : 0
Cerveira
06 Mar
Cerveira
1 : 2
SC Vianense
28 Feb
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Cerveira
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Braga B22174161:1255
2Merelinense22153434:1348
3CDC Montalegre22108436:2438
4SC Mirandela2298524:1635
5Maria de Fonte2295830:2932
6SC Vianense2295826:2832
7Vilaverdense FC2277828:3028
8Pedras Salgadas2268819:2326
9Vidago22651127:3623
10GD Braganca22481016:2520
11Cerveira22361311:2715
12Aguia Vimioso22151612:618
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Camacha00000:00
2Mondinense00000:00
3Tirsense00000:00
4AD Fafe00000:00
5FC Felgueiras00000:00
6Brito00000:00
7Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:00
8Sao Martinho00000:00
9Rio Ave B00000:00
10Berco00000:00
11Pevidem00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gondomar00000:00
2Trofense00000:00
3U. Madeira00000:00
4Leca00000:00
5Coimbroes00000:00
6Paredes00000:00
7Amarante FC00000:00
8Camara de Lobos00000:00
9SC Salgueiros00000:00
10SC Vila Real00000:00
11Maritimo B00000:00
12Pedras Rubras00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Setubal00000:00
2Olhanense00000:00
3Juv. Evora00000:00
4Louletano00000:00
5Aljustrelense00000:00
6Pinhalnovense00000:00
7Esperanca de Lagos00000:00
8Moura AC00000:00
9Lusitano GC00000:00
10Amora00000:00
11Moncarapachense00000:00
12Armacenenses00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)