Sport Picks
Vilaverdense FC vs Desportivo Moncao
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Vilaverdense FC host Desportivo Moncao in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Desportivo Moncao have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Vilaverdense FC have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.38. Past meetings favor Desportivo Moncao slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.56) back Desportivo Moncao to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Desportivo Moncao come out ahead of Vilaverdense FC on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Desportivo Moncao here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilaverdense FC | Desportivo Moncao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilaverdense FC Compare
Desportivo Moncao Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Desportivo Moncao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Desportivo Moncao's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Vilaverdense FC scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vilaverdense FC
(Home)Desportivo Moncao
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GD Braganca | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:29 | 48 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 49:28 | 48 |
| 3 | Brito | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Celoricense | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:23 | 42 |
| 5 | AD Limianos | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 35:32 | 41 |
| 6 | Tirsense | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 31:22 | 40 |
| 7 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:26 | 36 |
| 8 | Chaves B | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Machico | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | 36 |
| 10 | Sao Martinho | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 22:31 | 34 |
| 11 | SC Mirandela | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 21:29 | 32 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense FC | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 15:31 | 21 |
| 13 | CD Ribeira Brava | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Desportivo Moncao | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 26:53 | 17 |