Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilaverdense W vs Amora W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Dias R.
85' Event
Schmidt M.
90' Event
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

Vilaverdense W in this Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilaverdense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vilaverdense W
15%
Draws
85%
Amora W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense W have won more games recently than Amora W.
  • Amora W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vilaverdense W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%
Amora W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Amora W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 1 3
Losses 26 23
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 3.68 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Vilaverdense W
0:1
May 26, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Amora W
1:1
May 14, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Amora W
3:0
Jan 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Vilaverdense W
0:4
Sep 4, 2022 Taça da Liga Women
Amora W vs Vilaverdense W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schmidt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Amora W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Amora W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Amora W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Amora W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Vilaverdense W's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense W VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
4.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense W

(Home)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
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Amora W

(Away)
09 Jun
Amora W
0 : 1
Vilaverdense W
26 May
Vilaverdense W
1 : 1
Amora W
21 May
Amora W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
14 May
Vilaverdense W
3 : 0
Amora W
07 May
Torreense W
2 : 1
Amora W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 21 0 1 99:7 63
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 67:14 54
3 Braga W 22 16 3 3 60:26 51
4 Famalicao W 22 12 4 6 48:24 40
5 Damaiense W 22 10 6 6 35:34 36
6 Vilaverdense W 22 9 1 12 34:47 25
7 Torreense W 22 6 4 12 25:47 22
8 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 6 11 21:54 21
9 Valadares Gaia W 22 5 5 12 17:38 20
10 Ouriense W 22 4 5 13 16:43 17
11 Maritimo W 22 5 2 15 29:58 17
12 Amora W 22 2 1 19 12:71 7
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)