Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilaverdense W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo, Vila Verde
Vilaverdense W Logo

Vilaverdense W

0 - 9
FT
Sporting W Logo

Sporting W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Silva Di.
Assist: Borges A.
46'
Sub
Galabadaarachchi J. In: Raphino B.
Out: Galabadaarachchi J.
46'
Sub
Perez B. In: O'Donnel M.
Out: Perez B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Vilaverdense W and Sporting W finished 0-9, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vilaverdense W
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting W come out ahead of Vilaverdense W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sporting W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Sporting W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 1 9
Losses 26 6
Goals Scored 0.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 4.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Sporting W
0:9
Nov 22, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Vilaverdense W
4:0
Jan 27, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Sporting W
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Vilaverdense W
8:0
May 21, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Vilaverdense W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphino B.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Di.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Sporting W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Sporting W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Vilaverdense W scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Sporting W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense W

(Home)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

Sporting W

(Away)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)