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Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilaverdense W play Valadares Gaia W in the Liga BPI Women 2024/2025. Valadares Gaia W are favorites here. Recently, Vilaverdense W averaged 0.37 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. Valadares Gaia W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Vilaverdense W won 1, Valadares Gaia W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 9, 2025 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Vilaverdense W and 1.61 for Valadares Gaia W. This points to a Valadares Gaia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Vilaverdense W
15%
Draws
72%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valadares Gaia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense W picked up more points recently compared to Valadares Gaia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 14%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.37 1.69
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vilaverdense W
8:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:5
Feb 18, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vilaverdense W
4:0
Oct 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mineira K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakip J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aniwaa L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 15 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Valadares Gaia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valadares Gaia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Valadares Gaia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilaverdense W attacking → ← attacking Valadares Gaia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense W scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Vilaverdense W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Valadares Gaia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110