Sport Picks
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
Portugal
Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo, Vila Verde 
Match Events
1'
1'
Lakip J.
Assist: Glennon I.
7'
7'
Parkinson E.
23'
23'
Aniwaa L.
Assist: Da Costa A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Vilaverdense W and Valadares Gaia W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valadares Gaia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Valadares Gaia W come out ahead of Vilaverdense W on wins alone.
- Model gives Valadares Gaia W a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Valadares Gaia W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 19%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilaverdense W | Valadares Gaia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 19 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 26 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.37 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.13 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vilaverdense W
8:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:5
Feb 18, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Vilaverdense W
4:0
Oct 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilaverdense W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mineira K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Valadares Gaia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lakip J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aniwaa L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vilaverdense W Valadares Gaia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valadares Gaia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Valadares Gaia W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Vilaverdense W's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 57% of their last 37 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vilaverdense W
(Home) 11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0 Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5 Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6 Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0 Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7 Torreense W
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5 Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6 Famalicao W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7 Torreense W
01 Feb
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7 Racing Power W
25 Jan
Vilaverdense W
0 : 9 Sporting W
Page 1 of 3
Valadares Gaia W
(Away) 26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0 Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2 Braga W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
14 Mar
SL Benfica W
2 : 2 Valadares Gaia W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SL Benfica W | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65:10 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 66:9 | 54 |
| 3 | Braga W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 51:17 | 42 |
| 4 | Torreense W | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 46:22 | 41 |
| 5 | Valadares Gaia W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 44:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Racing Power W | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 34 |
| 7 | Maritimo W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 28:26 | 30 |
| 8 | Damaiense W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 22:29 | 26 |
| 9 | Famalicao W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 32:54 | 23 |
| 10 | Estoril Praia W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:49 | 19 |
| 11 | Albergaria/Durit W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13:60 | 11 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense W | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4:111 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
