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Vilhena vs Espigao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2011
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AI Match Summary

Espigao in this Campeonato Rondoniense 2011 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vilhena
20%
Draws
64%
Espigao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Espigao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vilhena haven't matched Espigao's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Espigao taking it.
  • Espigao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Espigao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 16%
Espigao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Espigao
Matches Played 48 39
Wins 19 21
Draws 9 10
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.58 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2013 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
3:1
Apr 7, 2013 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Vilhena
1:0
Apr 28, 2012 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
2:2
Mar 26, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Vilhena
1:1
Jun 20, 2011 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Espigao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 10 / 100
Espigao 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Espigao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espigao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilhena's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 48 recent games.

Espigao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Espigao's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
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Espigao

(Away)
10 May
Vilhena
3 : 1
Espigao
01 May
Espigao
1 : 0
Ji-Parana
29 Apr
Genus
2 : 2
Espigao
21 Apr
Rolim de Moura
2 : 1
Espigao
14 Apr
Espigao
2 : 4
Pimentense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Espigao 3
Vilhena 2
Genus 3
Ariquemes FC 4
Final
Espigao 2
Ariquemes FC 1