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Vilhena vs Guajara

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 game between Vilhena and Guajara finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilhena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vilhena
15%
Draws
0%
Guajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilhena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Vilhena haven't matched Guajara's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vilhena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 16%
Guajara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhena Guajara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2018 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Vilhena
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Guajara
2:1
May 4, 2017 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Guajara
3:0
Mar 19, 2017 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Vilhena
1:2
Jun 13, 2015 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Vilhena
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhena 31 / 100
Guajara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhena Guajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guajara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Guajara has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guajara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vilhena found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilhena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhena

(Home)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
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Guajara

(Away)
15 Mar
Guajara
0 : 3
Genus
14 Mar
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Guajara
08 Mar
Guajara
0 : 1
Real Ariquemes
23 Feb
CA Rondoniense
3 : 0
Guajara
15 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Guajara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona RO 14 9 3 2 21:9 30
2 Real Ariquemes 14 7 7 0 18:7 28
3 Vilhena 14 6 4 4 18:14 22
4 Genus 14 4 7 3 18:13 19
5 Ariquemes FC 14 3 8 3 23:15 17
6 CA Rondoniense 14 4 5 5 18:20 17
7 Ji-Parana 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
8 Guajara 14 1 1 12 9:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 (Play Offs)