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Vilhenense vs Porto Velho Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2019
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Vilhenense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vilhenense
30%
Draws
39%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Porto Velho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Porto Velho taking it.
  • Porto Velho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vilhenense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vilhenense Clean Sheet 12%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhenense Porto Velho
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Rondoniense
Vilhenense vs Porto Velho
2:2
Apr 13, 2019 Rondoniense
Vilhenense vs Porto Velho
3:1
Apr 7, 2019 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Vilhenense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhenense 10 / 100
Porto Velho 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhenense Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Vilhenense scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Porto Velho conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Vilhenense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porto Velho
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhenense

(Home)
08 Apr
Vilhenense
1 : 0
CA Rondoniense
02 Apr
Ji-Parana
1 : 0
Vilhenense
25 Mar
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Vilhenense
18 Mar
Vilhenense
0 : 0
Genus
11 Mar
Vilhenense
1 : 0
Guapore
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Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ji-Parana 1
Real Ariquemes 0
Porto Velho 2
Vilhenense 4
Final
Ji-Parana 1
Vilhenense 2