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Viljandi vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jevdokimov J.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Sinilaid S.
38' Event
Neemelo T.

AI Match Summary

Kalju in this Meistriliiga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Viljandi
15%
Draws
51%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalju lately — more wins on the board than Viljandi.
  • Win probability leans Kalju's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kalju have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 15%
Kalju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viljandi Kalju
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.37 2.42
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Kalju
1:9
Aug 11, 2012 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Viljandi
3:0
May 22, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Kalju
0:3
Mar 31, 2012 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Viljandi
4:0
Oct 18, 2011 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Viljandi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viljandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinilaid S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Neemelo T.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Melts T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viljandi 11 / 100
Kalju 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viljandi Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Viljandi found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kalju conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Kalju lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kalju
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Viljandi

(Home)
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
:
Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5
Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3
Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Kalju

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalju 36 29 5 2 106:17 92
2 Levadia 36 25 8 3 85:22 83
3 Flora 36 26 3 7 87:24 81
4 Narva 36 16 7 13 52:44 55
5 Sillamae Kalev 36 15 10 11 51:43 55
6 Paide Linnameeskond 36 11 9 16 34:52 42
7 Kuressaare 36 5 11 20 31:80 26
8 Viljandi 36 6 8 22 33:88 26
9 Tallinna Kalev 36 4 9 23 27:87 21
10 Tammeka Tartu 36 4 8 24 30:79 20
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2012 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)