Sport Picks
Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
42'
42'
Garzino F.
63'
63'
Sub
Gargiulo V. In: Resquin G.
Out: Gargiulo V.
63'
63'
Sub
Torres G. In: Gimenez F.
Out: Torres G.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arsenal Sarandi have won more games recently than Villa Dalmine.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Sarandi taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Arsenal Sarandi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 24%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Dalmine | Arsenal Sarandi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Villa Dalmine
1:1
Mar 30, 2019 Primera Nacional
Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Dalmine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Arsenal Sarandi Compare
Top Goalscorer Kestler I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Dalmine 21 / 100
Arsenal Sarandi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Dalmine Arsenal Sarandi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsenal Sarandi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Villa Dalmine's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Arsenal Sarandi let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Villa Dalmine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Villa Dalmine VS Arsenal Sarandi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Dalmine
(Home) 03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
25 Aug
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
15 Aug
Villa Dalmine
1 : 0 Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Sarandi
(Away) 03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
22 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
09 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
