Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Dalmine vs Brown Adrogue

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Buenos Aires
Villa Dalmine Logo

Villa Dalmine

1 - 0
FT
Brown Adrogue Logo

Brown Adrogue

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Solis M.
31'
Robles E.
42' Event
Gargiulo V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villa Dalmine in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Dalmine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Villa Dalmine
35%
Draws
24%
Brown Adrogue
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Dalmine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Dalmine have won more games recently than Brown Adrogue.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Villa Dalmine taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 68%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Dalmine Brown Adrogue
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Brown Adrogue
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Villa Dalmine
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Brown Adrogue
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Villa Dalmine
4:1
Aug 26, 2023 Primera Nacional
Villa Dalmine vs Brown Adrogue
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Dalmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Gargiulo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Brown Adrogue Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Dalmine 50 / 100
Brown Adrogue 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Dalmine Brown Adrogue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Dalmine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brown Adrogue has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Villa Dalmine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Villa Dalmine found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Villa Dalmine VS Brown Adrogue
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Dalmine

(Home)
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Aug
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6

Brown Adrogue

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
25 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 36 21 8 7 56:29 71
2 Arsenal Sarandi 36 18 12 6 48:24 66
3 Deportivo Camioneros 36 17 12 7 42:24 63
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 35 18 9 8 37:19 63
5 Villa Dalmine 36 17 12 7 38:21 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 36 16 11 9 41:27 59
7 Real Pilar 36 16 10 10 40:35 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 36 15 9 12 38:38 54
9 Comunicaciones 36 14 11 11 38:33 53
10 Laferrere 36 12 12 12 43:47 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 36 11 14 11 35:37 47
12 Dock Sud 35 10 13 12 38:38 43
13 Argentino de Merlo 35 10 11 14 30:35 41
14 Villa San Carlos 35 9 13 13 35:39 40
15 CSD Liniers 35 9 13 13 29:35 40
16 Argentino de Quilmes 35 9 13 13 29:36 40
17 Dep. Merlo 35 9 13 13 34:49 40
18 Flandria 35 10 8 17 31:43 38
19 Defensores Unidos 36 8 13 15 31:38 37
20 Brown Adrogue 36 7 14 15 21:37 35
21 UAI Urquiza 36 4 19 13 18:33 31
22 Ituzaingo 36 1 12 23 23:58 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)