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Stadium Background

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Garzino F.
36'
Fanti J.
39' Event
Oro P.

AI Match Summary

Villa Dalmine in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Dalmine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Villa Dalmine
20%
Draws
16%
Ituzaingo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Dalmine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Dalmine lately — more wins on the board than Ituzaingo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 68%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Dalmine Ituzaingo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 1
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 0.86 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingo
3:1
May 9, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Villa Dalmine
0:2
Apr 8, 2007 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Villa Dalmine
0:0
Oct 21, 2006 Primera C
Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Dalmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Oro P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garzino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ituzaingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Dalmine 41 / 100
Ituzaingo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Dalmine Ituzaingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Dalmine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituzaingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ituzaingo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Villa Dalmine scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Dalmine VS Ituzaingo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Dalmine

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6

Ituzaingo

(Away)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)