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Villa Dalmine vs San Martin Burzaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Escudero M.
Own Goal
26'
42'
Ponzo T.

AI Match Summary

Villa Dalmine in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Dalmine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Villa Dalmine
30%
Draws
41%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Dalmine have won more games recently than San Martin Burzaco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 16%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Dalmine San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs San Martin Burzaco
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Mar 15, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Dalmine 36 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Dalmine San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Burzaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin Burzaco conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Villa Dalmine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Villa Dalmine found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Villa Dalmine VS San Martin Burzaco
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Dalmine

(Home)
17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
10 Oct
Villa Dalmine
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
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San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1
Excursionistas
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 40 23 9 8 64:31 78
2 Arsenal Sarandi 40 20 13 7 53:26 73
3 Sportivo Italiano 40 19 12 9 47:29 69
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 40 19 11 10 42:26 68
5 Deportivo Camioneros 40 18 13 9 47:32 67
6 Villa Dalmine 40 17 14 9 39:27 65
7 Deportivo Armenio 40 17 11 12 42:38 62
8 Real Pilar 40 17 11 12 42:39 62
9 Comunicaciones 40 14 15 11 39:34 57
10 Laferrere 40 14 13 13 49:52 55
11 San Martin Burzaco 40 12 15 13 41:45 51
12 Villa San Carlos 40 12 14 14 40:43 50
13 Dep. Merlo 40 11 15 14 39:53 48
14 Dock Sud 40 11 14 15 41:45 47
15 CSD Liniers 40 10 15 15 33:41 45
16 Flandria 40 12 9 19 36:48 45
17 Argentino de Merlo 40 11 11 18 36:44 44
18 Argentino de Quilmes 40 9 17 14 32:40 44
19 Brown Adrogue 40 9 16 15 25:37 43
20 Defensores Unidos 40 9 15 16 33:40 42
21 UAI Urquiza 40 6 21 13 23:36 39
22 Ituzaingo 40 1 14 25 27:64 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)