Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2014/2015

Villanueva CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villa De Alagon play Villanueva CF in the Tercera Division - Group 17 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villa De Alagon averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Villanueva CF averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Villa De Alagon won 2, Villanueva CF won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2016 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Villa De Alagon and 0.80 for Villanueva CF. This points to a Villanueva CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Villa De Alagon

23%

Draws

41%

Villanueva CF

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Villanueva CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Villa De Alagon picked up more points recently compared to Villanueva CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Villa De Alagon Clean Sheet 26%

Villanueva CF Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villa De Alagon	Villanueva CF
Matches Played	31	34
Wins	7	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.06	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.65

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17

Villanueva CF vs Villa De Alagon

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17

Villa De Alagon vs Villanueva CF

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

1:3

Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17

Villa De Alagon vs Villanueva CF

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17

Villanueva CF vs Villa De Alagon

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa De Alagon 38 / 100

Villanueva CF 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villa De Alagon Villanueva CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villanueva CF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villa De Alagon attacking → ← attacking Villanueva CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa De Alagon scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Villanueva CF let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Villa De Alagon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villanueva CF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebro	38	27	5	6	84:27	86
2	Teruel	38	26	6	6	72:36	84
3	Sarinena	38	23	9	6	72:26	78
4	Tarazona	38	24	5	9	76:36	77
5	Andorra CF	38	22	10	6	54:24	76
6	Borja	38	16	13	9	54:34	61
7	CD Cuarte	38	16	12	10	46:40	60
8	Almudevar	38	16	11	11	49:39	59
9	Utebo FC	38	16	7	15	49:60	55
10	SD Ejea	38	14	10	14	51:45	52
11	CF Illueca	38	14	8	16	48:58	50
12	Villa De Alagon	38	13	8	17	40:61	47
13	Atletico Monzon	38	11	10	17	51:62	43
14	Sabinanigo	38	12	6	20	53:65	42
15	Binefar	38	10	10	18	37:56	40
16	Villanueva CF	38	10	10	18	35:50	40
17	Tamarite	38	10	5	23	34:63	35
18	CD Caspe	38	9	8	21	30:48	35
19	Santa Isabel	38	6	11	21	29:52	29
20	UD Barbastro	38	2	2	34	26:108	8