Sport Picks
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Bahía Blanca 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ayala V.
5'
5'
Centurion F.
37'
37'
Monti L.
AI Match Summary
Villa Mitre in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Mitre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Alvarado have won more games recently than Villa Mitre.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villa Mitre | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Mar 4, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Nov 7, 2018 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villa Mitre Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayala V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Alvarado Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villa Mitre 42 / 100
Alvarado 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villa Mitre Alvarado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Mitre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Villa Mitre scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Alvarado has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Villa Mitre VS Alvarado
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Villa Mitre
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0 Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Kimberley
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
08 Aug
Villa Mitre
1 : 1 Cipolletti
12 Jul
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 3
Alvarado
(Away) 20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
08 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2 Alvarado
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
