Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin

Villa Mitre

3 - 0

Guillermo Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Sub

Gonzalez E. In: Cordoba G. G.

Out: Gonzalez E.

22'

Ibarra T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villa Mitre in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Villa Mitre

Draws

Guillermo Brown

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villa Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Guillermo Brown have won more games recently than Villa Mitre.
90% — that's where the model lands on Villa Mitre taking it.
Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 18%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villa Mitre	Guillermo Brown
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	12
Draws	11	8
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	0.63	1
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal

Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Villa Mitre

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Oct 13, 2025 Torneo Federal

Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Villa Mitre

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Jun 21, 2025 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Villa Mitre

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Battigelli A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Guillermo Brown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Mitre 95 / 100

Guillermo Brown 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villa Mitre Guillermo Brown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Villa Mitre stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Guillermo Brown registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Villa Mitre scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Mitre VS Guillermo Brown

0.63 Goals Scored 1

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12