Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Mitre vs Kimberley

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Bahía Blanca
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Bacigalupe S.
44'
Castillo S.
46'
Sub
Tello L. In: De Gaetani A.
Out: Tello L.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Villa Mitre and Kimberley finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Villa Mitre
30%
Draws
41%
Kimberley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kimberley come out ahead of Villa Mitre on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Mitre Kimberley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 13 12
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Villa Mitre
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Villa Mitre
0:0
Jul 11, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Villa Mitre
0:0
May 11, 2025 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Mitre 42 / 100
Kimberley 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Mitre Kimberley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Mitre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Villa Mitre scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Kimberley let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villa Mitre VS Kimberley
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Mitre

(Home)
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Alvarado
12 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0
Villa Mitre
Page 1 of 6

Kimberley

(Away)
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
16 Aug
Kimberley
3 : 1
Cipolletti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)