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Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ze Arthur
90' Event
Matheus Batista

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Villa Nova AC
39%
Draws
31%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Nova AC haven't matched Valeriodoce's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 68%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Valeriodoce
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
1:1
Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
2:2
Mar 23, 2005 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Valeriodoce Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Arthur
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 41 / 100
Valeriodoce 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Nova AC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Villa Nova AC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Valeriodoce has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Valeriodoce
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba1
Mamore2
Valeriodoce1
Villa Nova AC1
Boa0
Aymores2
Democrata SL4
Patrocinense1
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-