Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima
Villa Nova AC Logo

Villa Nova AC

1 - 1
FT
Valeriodoce Logo

Valeriodoce

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ze Arthur
90' Event
Matheus Batista
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Villa Nova AC
30%
Draws
31%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Nova AC haven't matched Valeriodoce's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Valeriodoce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Villa Nova AC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 68%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Nova AC Valeriodoce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Jul 18, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
1:1
Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
2:2
Mar 23, 2005 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Valeriodoce
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Nova AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Valeriodoce Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Arthur
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Nova AC 41 / 100
Valeriodoce 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Nova AC Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Nova AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Nova AC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Valeriodoce conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Villa Nova AC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Nova AC VS Valeriodoce
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Nova AC

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6

Valeriodoce

(Away)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba 1
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 6
Patrocinense 2
Valeriodoce 1
Villa Nova AC 2
Boa 1
Aymores 3
Semi-finals
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 5
Villa Nova AC 4
Aymores 3
Final
Democrata SL 2
Villa Nova AC 3