Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Genacio Salice Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Lugones A.
9'
Pedrosa G.
29'
Zoratti G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Villa San Carlos and Excursionistas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Villa San Carlos
33%
Draws
40%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa San Carlos haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
  • Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 18%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa San Carlos Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arango M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damiolini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa San Carlos 28 / 100
Excursionistas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa San Carlos Excursionistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Villa San Carlos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa San Carlos found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Excursionistas conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa San Carlos VS Excursionistas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510