Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Genacio Salice Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Lugones A.
9'
Pedrosa G.
29'
Zoratti G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Villa San Carlos and Excursionistas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Villa San Carlos
20%
Draws
48%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa San Carlos haven't matched Excursionistas's recent run of results.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 18%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa San Carlos Excursionistas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arango M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damiolini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa San Carlos 32 / 100
Excursionistas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa San Carlos Excursionistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Excursionistas conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Villa San Carlos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Villa San Carlos found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Villa San Carlos VS Excursionistas
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa San Carlos

(Home)
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1
Villa San Carlos
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
30 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Villa San Carlos
25 Aug
Villa San Carlos
3 : 2
Flandria
22 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2
Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Excursionistas

(Away)
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 36 21 8 7 56:29 71
2 Arsenal Sarandi 36 18 12 6 48:24 66
3 Deportivo Camioneros 36 17 12 7 42:24 63
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 35 18 9 8 37:19 63
5 Villa Dalmine 36 17 12 7 38:21 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 36 16 11 9 41:27 59
7 Real Pilar 36 16 10 10 40:35 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 36 15 9 12 38:38 54
9 Comunicaciones 36 14 11 11 38:33 53
10 Laferrere 36 12 12 12 43:47 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 36 11 14 11 35:37 47
12 Dock Sud 35 10 13 12 38:38 43
13 Argentino de Merlo 35 10 11 14 30:35 41
14 Villa San Carlos 35 9 13 13 35:39 40
15 CSD Liniers 35 9 13 13 29:35 40
16 Argentino de Quilmes 35 9 13 13 29:36 40
17 Dep. Merlo 35 9 13 13 34:49 40
18 Flandria 35 10 8 17 31:43 38
19 Defensores Unidos 36 8 13 15 31:38 37
20 Brown Adrogue 36 7 14 15 21:37 35
21 UAI Urquiza 36 4 19 13 18:33 31
22 Ituzaingo 36 1 12 23 23:58 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)