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Stadium Background

Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Genacio Salice Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa San Carlos host Real Pilar in the Primera B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Real Pilar have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Villa San Carlos have conceded 0.97 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Real Pilar slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.88) point toward Real Pilar. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Villa San Carlos
15%
Draws
37%
Real Pilar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Real Pilar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Villa San Carlos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Real Pilar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa San Carlos Real Pilar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Villa San Carlos
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Villa San Carlos
1:0
May 3, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa San Carlos 42 / 100
Real Pilar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa San Carlos Real Pilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villa San Carlos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villa San Carlos's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa San Carlos VS Real Pilar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa San Carlos

(Home)
26 Oct
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Villa San Carlos
17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0
Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
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Real Pilar

(Away)
24 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 1
CSD Liniers
17 Oct
Real Pilar
0 : 0
Ituzaingo
12 Oct
UAI Urquiza
1 : 0
Real Pilar
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 41 24 9 8 68:31 81
2 Arsenal Sarandi 41 21 13 7 55:27 76
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 41 20 11 10 46:26 71
4 Sportivo Italiano 41 19 12 10 47:33 69
5 Villa Dalmine 41 18 14 9 40:27 68
6 Deportivo Camioneros 41 18 13 10 48:34 67
7 Real Pilar 41 18 11 12 44:40 65
8 Deportivo Armenio 41 17 11 13 42:39 62
9 Laferrere 41 15 13 13 50:52 58
10 Comunicaciones 41 14 15 12 39:35 57
11 San Martin Burzaco 41 12 15 14 41:46 51
12 Villa San Carlos 41 12 14 15 40:45 50
13 Flandria 41 13 9 19 39:49 48
14 Dep. Merlo 41 11 15 15 39:54 48
15 Argentino de Merlo 41 12 11 18 37:44 47
16 Argentino de Quilmes 41 10 17 14 33:40 47
17 Dock Sud 41 11 14 16 41:49 47
18 Defensores Unidos 41 10 15 16 34:40 45
19 CSD Liniers 41 10 15 16 34:43 45
20 Brown Adrogue 41 9 16 16 25:38 43
21 UAI Urquiza 41 7 21 13 25:36 42
22 Ituzaingo 41 1 14 26 28:67 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)