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Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Genacio Salice Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa San Carlos host Villa Dalmine in the Primera B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Villa Dalmine have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while Villa San Carlos have conceded 0.89 and scored 0.89. Head-to-head, Villa San Carlos have won 0 to Villa Dalmine's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.56) point toward Villa Dalmine. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Villa San Carlos
35%
Draws
20%
Villa Dalmine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villa Dalmine lately — more wins on the board than Villa San Carlos.
  • Villa San Carlos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa San Carlos Villa Dalmine
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.89 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Villa San Carlos
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Villa San Carlos
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Villa San Carlos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa San Carlos 67 / 100
Villa Dalmine 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa San Carlos Villa Dalmine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa San Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa San Carlos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villa Dalmine lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villa San Carlos scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa San Carlos VS Villa Dalmine
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa San Carlos

(Home)
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1
Villa San Carlos
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6

Villa Dalmine

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)