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Villa Santa Brigida vs Corralejo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Villa Santa Brigida and Corralejo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Santa Brigida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Villa Santa Brigida
20%
Draws
47%
Corralejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa Santa Brigida come out ahead of Corralejo on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Corralejo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 20%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Santa Brigida Corralejo
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Corralejo
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Corralejo
1:0
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:2
Apr 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Santa Brigida 28 / 100
Corralejo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Santa Brigida Corralejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Santa Brigida's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Corralejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Villa Santa Brigida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Santa Brigida VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Santa Brigida

(Home)
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 9

Corralejo

(Away)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)