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Villa vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 FUFA Kadiba Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kakande P.
25' Event
Yiga N.
58' Event
Yiga N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Villa and Buhimba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Villa
15%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Villa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Villa Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Buhimba
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 1.53 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Villa vs Buhimba
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Buhimba vs Villa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yiga N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kakande P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Buhimba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Villa scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa VS Buhimba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa

(Home)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
20 May
NEC FC
1 : 4
Villa
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
13 May
Mbarara City
1 : 3
Villa
Page 1 of 7

Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)