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Villa vs Express FC

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 FUFA Kadiba Stadium, Kampala
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Villa and Express FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Villa
20%
Draws
33%
Express FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa come out ahead of Express FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Villa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Villa Clean Sheet 68%
Express FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Express FC
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Villa vs Express FC
0:0
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Express FC vs Villa
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Villa vs Express FC
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Express FC vs Villa
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Premier League
Villa vs Express FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa 59 / 100
Express FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Express FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Villa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Express FC conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Villa VS Express FC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa

(Home)
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
20 May
NEC FC
1 : 4
Villa
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
Page 1 of 7

Express FC

(Away)
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
19 May
Express FC
0 : 0
Lugazi
12 May
Express FC
3 : 2
Kitara
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
28 Apr
Mbarara City
2 : 1
Express FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)