Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Valle vs Legnano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Staffa G. M.
50' Event
Martini N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Villa Valle
35%
Draws
47%
Legnano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Valle average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Legnano's 0.9.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Legnano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Legnano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Legnano
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Villa Valle
0:1
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Villa Valle
2:1
Mar 9, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Legnano
1:2
Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Villa Valle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Martini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Staffa G. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 42 / 100
Legnano 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Legnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Legnano let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Villa Valle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Legnano

(Away)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)