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Villa Valle vs Pavia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Villa Valle
35%
Draws
18%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Valle have won more games recently than Pavia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 20%
Pavia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Pavia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Pavia
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pavia vs Villa Valle
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 58 / 100
Pavia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Villa Valle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pavia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS Pavia
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Pavia

(Away)
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3
Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)