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Villa Valle vs Pavia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle Logo

Villa Valle

0 - 0
FT
Pavia Logo

Pavia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Villa Valle
30%
Draws
47%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Villa Valle have won more games recently than Pavia.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 19%
Pavia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Valle Pavia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Pavia
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pavia vs Villa Valle
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Valle 49 / 100
Pavia 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Valle Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pavia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Villa Valle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villa Valle VS Pavia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villa Valle

(Home)
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

Pavia

(Away)
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)