Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018

Fiorenzuola

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villabiagio play Fiorenzuola in the Serie D - Group D 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villabiagio averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Fiorenzuola averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Villabiagio won 2, Fiorenzuola won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2018 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Villabiagio and 0.93 for Fiorenzuola. This points to a Villabiagio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Villabiagio

21%

Draws

27%

Fiorenzuola

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Villabiagio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Villabiagio picked up more points recently compared to Fiorenzuola.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Villabiagio Clean Sheet 24%

Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villabiagio	Fiorenzuola
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	22
Goals Scored	1.2	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group D

Villabiagio vs Fiorenzuola

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

4:2

Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group D

Fiorenzuola vs Villabiagio

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villabiagio 52 / 100

Fiorenzuola 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villabiagio Fiorenzuola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villabiagio or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villabiagio attacking → ← attacking Fiorenzuola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villabiagio scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fiorenzuola let in goals in 82% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Villabiagio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fiorenzuola lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rimini	38	23	11	4	65:38	80
2	Imolese	38	21	8	9	72:45	71
3	Forli FC	38	18	11	9	60:43	65
4	Fiorenzuola	38	16	16	6	50:32	64
5	Sangiovannese	38	17	10	11	42:38	61
6	Lentigione	38	16	12	10	45:33	60
7	Villabiagio	38	17	8	13	52:49	59
8	Pianese	38	14	16	8	54:35	58
9	Montevarchi	38	16	8	14	42:40	56
10	Romagna Centro	38	14	12	12	49:42	54
11	Sammaurese	38	14	12	12	34:29	54
12	Sasso Marconi	38	11	12	15	35:48	45
13	Vigor Carpaneto	38	9	18	11	50:48	45
14	Tuttocuoio	38	10	12	16	25:34	42
15	Sporting Trestina	38	10	11	17	36:52	41
16	Castelvetro	38	10	8	20	46:62	38
17	Mezzolara	38	7	15	16	34:50	36
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	38	7	12	19	40:62	33
19	Correggese	38	6	14	18	37:55	32
20	Colligiana	38	7	8	23	27:60	29