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Villacanas vs CD Tarancon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Moreno R.
20'
Juancho
24' Event
Fizesan M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Villacanas and CD Tarancon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Villacanas
20%
Draws
40%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Villacanas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacanas CD Tarancon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villacanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fizesan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacanas 46 / 100
CD Tarancon 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacanas CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Tarancon conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Villacanas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Villacanas found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Villacanas VS CD Tarancon
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacanas

(Home)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

CD Tarancon

(Away)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)