Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Moreno R.
20'
20'
Juancho
24'
24'
Fizesan M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Villacanas and CD Tarancon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Tarancon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
- CD Tarancon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 15%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Villacanas | CD Tarancon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villacanas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Villacanas Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
CD Tarancon Compare
Top Goalscorer Fizesan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Villacanas 10 / 100
CD Tarancon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Villacanas CD Tarancon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villacanas found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Villacanas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: CD Tarancon conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Villacanas VS CD Tarancon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Villacanas
(Home) 09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0 Villarrobledo
03 May
Albacete B
1 : 1 Villacanas
25 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 1 La Solana
18 Apr
Toledo
4 : 0 Villacanas
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0 Cazalegas
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0 Villarrobledo
25 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 1 La Solana
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0 Cazalegas
28 Mar
Villacanas
1 : 1 CD Guadalajara B
14 Mar
Villacanas
0 : 1 Azuqueca
Page 1 of 3
CD Tarancon
(Away) 23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 Cazalegas
03 May
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 3 CD Tarancon
25 Apr
CD Tarancon
3 : 0 CD Guadalajara B
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
03 May
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 3 CD Tarancon
18 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 CD Tarancon
02 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1 CD Tarancon
15 Mar
Puertollano C.F.
2 : 0 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 (Play Offs)
