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Villacanas vs Illescas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villacanas host Illescas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Villacanas at 0.94 goals for, 0.94 against; Illescas at 0.65 for, 0.71 against. Head-to-head, Villacanas have won 1 to Illescas's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward Villacanas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Villacanas
30%
Draws
43%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Villacanas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villacanas Illescas
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.94 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Illescas
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villacanas
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Illescas
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villacanas
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villacanas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villacanas 32 / 100
Illescas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villacanas Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villacanas's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Villacanas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Illescas conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villacanas VS Illescas
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villacanas

(Home)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

Illescas

(Away)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)