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Villafranca vs Luparense FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Bussi M.
90'
Tosi C. A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Villafranca and Luparense FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Villafranca
35%
Draws
55%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Luparense FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Villafranca Clean Sheet 19%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villafranca Luparense FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Villafranca vs Luparense FC
0:1
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Villafranca
4:1
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Villafranca
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Villafranca vs Luparense FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villafranca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bussi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villafranca 10 / 100
Luparense FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villafranca Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luparense FC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Villafranca scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Villafranca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luparense FC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villafranca

(Home)
05 Aug
Villafranca
1 : 2
Clivense
14 May
Montecchio Maggiore
5 : 0
Villafranca
07 May
Virtus Bolzano
0 : 0
Villafranca
30 Apr
Villafranca
0 : 2
Campodarsego
23 Apr
Torviscosa
2 : 2
Villafranca
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Luparense FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)