Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villafranca vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Marchetti F.
90' Event
Martone F.

AI Match Summary

Villafranca in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Villafranca
39%
Draws
30%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Villafranca haven't matched Montebelluna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Villafranca Clean Sheet 25%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villafranca Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Villafranca vs Montebelluna
2:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Villafranca
3:2
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Villafranca vs Montebelluna
0:1
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Villafranca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchetti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martone F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villafranca 33 / 100
Montebelluna 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villafranca Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montebelluna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Montebelluna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Villafranca scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villafranca

(Home)
05 Aug
Villafranca
1 : 2
Clivense
14 May
Montecchio Maggiore
5 : 0
Villafranca
07 May
Virtus Bolzano
0 : 0
Villafranca
30 Apr
Villafranca
0 : 2
Campodarsego
23 Apr
Torviscosa
2 : 2
Villafranca
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legnago Salus34179848:2660
2Clodiense341513646:3158
3Adriese341414654:3856
4Campodarsego341412850:4054
5Luparense FC341314749:3453
6Virtus Bolzano341314753:4353
7Este3413111047:3950
8Cjarlins Muzane341115838:3648
9Caldiero Terme3412121042:4148
10Cartigliano3411131047:5046
11Mestre341271546:4243
12Dolomiti Bellunesi3411101342:4743
13Montecchio Maggiore341091550:5539
14Torviscosa348121431:4636
15Portogruaro34981736:5635
16Villafranca348101635:4634
17Montebelluna34871935:6131
18Levico Terme345141523:4129
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)