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Villalonga vs SD Negreira Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villalonga in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Villalonga
15%
Draws
57%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Villalonga have won more games recently than SD Negreira.
  • SD Negreira are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Villalonga Clean Sheet 14%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villalonga SD Negreira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs SD Negreira
0:0
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Villalonga
1:2
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Villalonga vs SD Negreira
3:1
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Villalonga
2:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Villalonga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villalonga 27 / 100
SD Negreira 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villalonga SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Negreira has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

SD Negreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villalonga scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Villalonga VS SD Negreira
1 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Villalonga

(Home)
16 Aug
Villalonga
0 : 2
Pontevedra
26 Jul
Villalonga
0 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
11 May
Villalonga
2 : 1
Estradense
04 May
Gran Pena
3 : 1
Villalonga
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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