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Villanovense vs Montijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Quintero J.
70' Event
Yaw L. J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Villanovense and Montijo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villanovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Villanovense
15%
Draws
39%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villanovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Villanovense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Villanovense a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villanovense Montijo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Montijo
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Montijo
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Villanovense
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Montijo vs Villanovense
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Villanovense vs Montijo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villanovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaw L. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villanovense 50 / 100
Montijo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villanovense Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villanovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Villanovense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Villanovense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villanovense VS Montijo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villanovense

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
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Montijo

(Away)
04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0
Jaraiz
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)