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Villaralbo vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ballo K.
46' Event
Benito P.
66' Event
Ballo K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Villaralbo and Numancia B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villaralbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Villaralbo
20%
Draws
7%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villaralbo come out ahead of Numancia B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Villaralbo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Numancia B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Numancia B
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Villaralbo
1:1
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Numancia B
1:3
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Villaralbo
1:1
Jan 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Numancia B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballo K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Numancia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 95 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Villaralbo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Numancia B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS Numancia B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
26 Apr
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 1
Villaralbo
18 Apr
Villaralbo
1 : 1
Guijuelo
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)