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Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Galvan M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Villaralbo and Santa Marta Tormes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Marta Tormes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Villaralbo
33%
Draws
27%
Santa Marta Tormes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Marta Tormes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Villaralbo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Santa Marta Tormes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaralbo Santa Marta Tormes
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Villaralbo
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Villaralbo
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Santa Marta Tormes vs Villaralbo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaralbo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santa Marta Tormes Compare

Top Goalscorer Galvan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaralbo 50 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaralbo Santa Marta Tormes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Villaralbo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Villaralbo found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Santa Marta Tormes conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Villaralbo VS Santa Marta Tormes
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villaralbo

(Home)
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
26 Apr
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 1
Villaralbo
18 Apr
Villaralbo
1 : 1
Guijuelo
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

Santa Marta Tormes

(Away)
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
16 May
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Guijuelo
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
02 May
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)