Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2008/2009

Alicante II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villarreal C play Alicante II in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2008/2009. Villarreal C are favorites here. Recently, Villarreal C averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Alicante II averaged 0.37 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Villarreal C won 2, Alicante II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2010 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Villarreal C and 1.50 for Alicante II. This points to a Villarreal C double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Villarreal C

19%

Draws

20%

Alicante II

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Villarreal C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Villarreal C picked up more points recently compared to Alicante II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Villarreal C Clean Sheet 16%

Alicante II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villarreal C	Alicante II
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	5
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	20
Goals Scored	1.78	0.37
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Villarreal C vs Alicante II

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Jan 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Alicante II vs Villarreal C

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

May 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Villarreal C vs Alicante II

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Dec 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Alicante II vs Villarreal C

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal C 58 / 100

Alicante II 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villarreal C Alicante II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal C Win (1)

Secondary Pick Villarreal C & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villarreal C attacking → ← attacking Alicante II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal C scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Alicante II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Villarreal C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alicante II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 20

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villajoyosa	38	21	11	6	58:31	74
2	Alicante II	38	20	11	7	62:33	71
3	La Nucia	38	20	11	7	45:27	71
4	Torrevieja	38	19	11	8	52:29	68
5	Gandia	38	15	19	4	41:30	64
6	Eldense	38	19	7	12	44:32	64
7	Burjassot	38	15	17	6	50:38	62
8	Catarroja CF	38	18	5	15	43:37	59
9	Villarreal C	38	16	8	14	66:52	56
10	CD Onda	38	14	11	13	44:43	53
11	Novelda CF	38	14	9	15	45:33	51
12	Levante B	38	11	14	13	34:38	47
13	Jove	38	11	11	16	50:46	44
14	Ribarroja	38	10	13	15	38:49	43
15	UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo	38	10	11	17	42:59	41
16	Crevillente	38	9	12	17	40:51	39
17	UD Pucol	38	9	12	17	48:71	39
18	Castellon II	38	10	8	20	50:66	38
19	Pego CF	38	6	6	26	26:80	24
20	Utiel	38	5	9	24	31:64	24