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Villarreal U20 vs Alboraya U20

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COTIF Tournament 2022 Estadio de la Ceramica
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AI Match Summary

Villarreal U20 play Alboraya U20 in the COTIF Tournament 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villarreal U20 averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Alboraya U20 averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Villarreal U20 won 1, Alboraya U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.45 for Villarreal U20 and 1.37 for Alboraya U20. This points to a Alboraya U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Villarreal U20
15%
Draws
45%
Alboraya U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alboraya U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarreal U20 picked up more points recently compared to Alboraya U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.45 vs 1.37 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Villarreal U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Alboraya U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal U20 Alboraya U20
Matches Played 11 7
Wins 1 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.64 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2022 COTIF Tournament
Villarreal U20 vs Alboraya U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Alboraya U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal U20 39 / 100
Alboraya U20 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal U20 Alboraya U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alboraya U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villarreal U20 attacking → ← attacking Alboraya U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal U20 scored in 45% of their last 11 games.

Alboraya U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Villarreal U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alboraya U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 6
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.86
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Argentina U2032103:07
2Valencia U2032014:36
3Rukh Lviv U2031112:14
4Alzira U2030031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uruguay U2032106:17
2Levante U2032016:36
3Villarreal U2031111:24
4Alboraya U2030032:90