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Villarreal U20 vs Russia U20

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COTIF Tournament 2017 Estadio de la Ceramica
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AI Match Summary

Villarreal U20 play Russia U20 in the COTIF Tournament 2017. Russia U20 are favorites here. Recently, Villarreal U20 averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Russia U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Villarreal U20 won 0, Russia U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.90 for Villarreal U20 and 2.04 for Russia U20. This points to a Russia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Villarreal U20
17%
Draws
69%
Russia U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Russia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarreal U20 picked up more points recently compared to Russia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.90 vs 2.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Villarreal U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U20 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal U20 Russia U20
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.64 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2017 COTIF Tournament
Villarreal U20 vs Russia U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahn June Hyuk
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Russia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakovlev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal U20 15 / 100
Russia U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal U20 Russia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Russia U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villarreal U20 attacking → ← attacking Russia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal U20 scored in 45% of their last 11 games.

Russia U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Villarreal U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Russia U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 44
0.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid U20430113:29
2Levante U2042112:67
3Russia U2042024:56
4Mauritania U2041216:85
5Villarreal U2040135:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valencia U2042114:37
2Morocco U2041305:36
3Comunidad Valencian U2042022:46
4Sevilla U2041123:34
5Santos U2041122:34