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Villarreal vs Espanyol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarreal host Espanyol in the LaLiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Villarreal have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Espanyol's 1.32 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Villarreal slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Villarreal to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Villarreal
20%
Draws
29%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarreal have won more games recently than Espanyol.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Villarreal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Villarreal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 20%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal Espanyol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Espanyol
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Villarreal
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Espanyol
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Villarreal
1:2
Apr 27, 2023 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Espanyol
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal 58 / 100
Espanyol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Espanyol let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Villarreal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal VS Espanyol
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarreal

(Home)
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
10 Oct
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
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Espanyol

(Away)
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 9 9 0 0 39:9 27
2 Atl. Madrid 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
3 Real Madrid 9 7 0 2 23:9 21
4 Betis 9 6 1 2 16:14 19
5 Real Sociedad 9 5 1 3 17:17 16
6 Sevilla 9 4 2 3 14:16 14
7 Alaves 9 3 2 4 13:10 11
8 Celta Vigo 9 2 5 2 10:7 11
9 Dep. A Coruna 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
10 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 10:18 11
11 Levante 9 2 4 3 15:17 10
12 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 13:13 9
13 Ath Bilbao 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
14 Rayo Vallecano 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
15 Getafe 9 2 3 4 5:11 9
16 Espanyol 9 2 2 5 11:12 8
17 Racing Santander 9 2 2 5 13:25 8
18 Elche 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
19 Valencia 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
20 Malaga 9 0 4 5 6:18 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)