Sport Picks

Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal

Villarreal W

2 - 1

Alaves W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Lauris

69'

Rivero A.

87'

Salvador Garcia A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Villarreal W and Alaves W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarreal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Villarreal W

28%

Draws

50%

Alaves W

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alaves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Alaves W carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Alaves W a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Villarreal W Clean Sheet 16%

Alaves W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villarreal W	Alaves W
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	19
Draws	10	5
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Primera Federacion Women

Villarreal W vs Alaves W

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Nov 1, 2025 Primera Federacion Women

Alaves W vs Villarreal W

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Apr 13, 2025 Primera Federacion Women

Alaves W vs Villarreal W

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Sep 21, 2024 Primera Federacion Women

Villarreal W vs Alaves W

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 28, 2023 Liga F Women

Villarreal W vs Alaves W

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauris

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salvador Garcia A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Alaves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal W 23 / 100

Alaves W 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villarreal W Alaves W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Villarreal W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Villarreal W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Alaves W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal W VS Alaves W

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona B W	26	18	4	4	67:26	58
2	Alaves W	26	17	5	4	44:15	56
3	Valencia W	26	12	10	4	35:18	46
4	Real Madrid B W	26	12	5	9	35:27	41
5	Tenerife B W	26	11	6	9	34:36	39
6	Villarreal W	26	10	8	8	35:31	38
7	CA Osasuna W	26	9	6	11	30:26	33
8	Albacete W	26	8	9	9	25:33	33
9	Cacereno W	26	8	7	11	22:33	31
10	Atl. Madrid B W	26	8	7	11	26:32	31
11	SE AEM W	26	8	6	12	26:36	30
12	CE Europa W	26	6	5	15	29:47	23
13	Betis W	26	5	8	13	24:48	23
14	Real Oviedo W	26	4	6	16	18:42	18