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Villarreal W vs CA Osasuna W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Medina S.
45' Event
Macias M.
75' Event
Jimenez C.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal W in this Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villarreal W
6%
Draws
4%
CA Osasuna W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarreal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarreal W lately — more wins on the board than CA Osasuna W.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Villarreal W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 68%
CA Osasuna W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarreal W CA Osasuna W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs CA Osasuna W
3:1
May 9, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs CA Osasuna W
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Macias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CA Osasuna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarreal W 95 / 100
CA Osasuna W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarreal W CA Osasuna W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Villarreal W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CA Osasuna W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villarreal W VS CA Osasuna W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Valencia W4
Albacete W3
Villarreal W5
CA Osasuna W2
Final
Valencia W1
Villarreal W1