Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022

Villarrobledo

3 - 1

Hogar Alcarreno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 game between Villarrobledo and Hogar Alcarreno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Villarrobledo

Draws

Hogar Alcarreno

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Villarrobledo come out ahead of Hogar Alcarreno on wins alone.
Win probability leans Villarrobledo's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%

Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villarrobledo	Hogar Alcarreno
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	11	5
Losses	9	21
Goals Scored	0.38	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrobledo vs Hogar Alcarreno

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Hogar Alcarreno vs Villarrobledo

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 95 / 100

Hogar Alcarreno 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villarrobledo Hogar Alcarreno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hogar Alcarreno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Villarrobledo scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Villarrobledo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS -

0.38 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	23	8	3	71:19	77
2	Quintanar del Rey	34	21	7	6	63:29	70
3	Illescas	34	20	7	7	56:33	67
4	Villarrobledo	34	18	10	6	53:25	64
5	Torrijos	34	17	9	8	50:30	60
6	Conquense	34	15	11	8	49:30	56
7	Villarrubia	34	16	7	11	45:38	55
8	Azuqueca	34	16	6	12	55:40	54
9	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	15	9	10	50:26	54
10	CD Tarancon	34	16	3	15	46:45	51
11	Villacanas	34	13	7	14	47:51	46
12	Albacete B	34	11	11	12	47:40	44
13	UD Almansa	34	12	7	15	44:51	43
14	Huracan de Balazote	34	10	7	17	52:56	37
15	San Clemente	34	10	6	18	30:50	36
16	Miguelturreno	34	7	4	23	35:67	25
17	Hogar Alcarreno	34	4	5	25	29:90	17
18	La Roda	34	0	0	34	0:102	0