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Villarrobledo vs Illescas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Villarrobledo
35%
Draws
32%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Villarrobledo have won more games recently than Illescas.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Villarrobledo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Illescas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Illescas
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrobledo
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Illescas
0:0
Nov 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrobledo
2:0
May 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrobledo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 49 / 100
Illescas 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrobledo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Illescas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Villarrobledo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS Illescas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1
Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
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Illescas

(Away)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)