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Villarrobledo vs Manchego Ciudad Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo host Manchego Ciudad Real in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Villarrobledo at 1.09 goals for, 0.79 against; Manchego Ciudad Real at 1.45 for, 0.67 against. Head-to-head, Villarrobledo have won 0 to Manchego Ciudad Real's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.56) point toward Manchego Ciudad Real. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Villarrobledo
20%
Draws
46%
Manchego Ciudad Real
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchego Ciudad Real come out ahead of Villarrobledo on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Villarrobledo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.09 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrobledo
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrobledo
6:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villarrobledo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 40 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrobledo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Villarrobledo's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Manchego Ciudad Real has conceded goals in 42% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS Manchego Ciudad Real
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1
Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 7

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
2 Illescas 6 4 2 0 8:3 14
3 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 UD Almansa 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 CD Tarancon 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
8 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
9 Marchamalo 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
10 San Clemente 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
11 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
12 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
13 Quintanar del Rey 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
14 Socuellamos 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
15 La Solana 6 1 0 5 4:10 3
16 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Guadalajara B 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)